Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. AAOI

NASDAQ | Technology | Optical communication and datacenter transceivers
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Updated: 6 Nov 2026 Base analysis: 21 Jul 2026

The news check keeps the assessment current.

General analysis — not personal advice.

NEUTRAL Partly clear

Existing position may be maintained pending confirmation of margin improvement and volume deliveries.

Strong revenue growth and the new long-term agreement are weighed against margin pressure and capacity risks, supporting a neutral signal.

Market sentiment Positive ↓
Trend: Declining

The market shows continued optimism around AI demand but the tone has softened after the report due to margin concerns and dilution.

Risk assessment High
Dilution: High History of equity raises and Amazon warrants create ongoing dilution.
Jurisdiction: Medium Significant manufacturing in Taiwan and China despite new US facility.
Execution: High Need to scale 1.6T production without eroding margins.
Cash flow: 4 mo

NEUTRAL is the call. Positive is the market mood. High risk means a lot can go wrong.

Latest change
  • 6 Nov 2026 — Report shows record revenue and return to profit driven by datacenter demand plus new LTA agreement.

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About the company

Applied Optoelectronics develops and manufactures optical transceivers and laser components for datacenters, CATV and telecom. The company is vertically integrated with in-house laser production and focuses on 800G/1.6T products for AI infrastructure.

Sector: Optical communication and datacenter transceivers
Type: Tech
Next report (Q4)
26 Feb 2027
Catalysts
◐
Feb 2027
Texas capacity target High
○
Q4 2026
Q4 report High
Bull case

Strong datacenter growth and the new LTA provide solid revenue visibility through 2029.

Bear case

Margin miss, capacity delays and high customer concentration create ongoing uncertainty.

Why this signal

Strong revenue growth and the new long-term agreement are weighed against margin pressure and capacity risks, supporting a neutral signal.

Recent news
  • The Q3 report on 5 November showed record revenue of 269.9 million USD and a return to GAAP profit of 6.3 million USD. A new three-year LTA with a Tier-1 hyperscale customer for 1.6T transceivers was announced with potential of 1–1.5 billion USD. Q4 guidance was provided and Texas capacity expansion continues with some delays. The stock fell approximately 21 percent on the report day.

Key figures

Revenue
Q3 2026
USD 270M
Revenue TTM
TTM
USD 507M
EBITDA
Q1 2026
USD 1.0M
Net income
Q3 2026
USD 6.3M
Cash
as_of
USD 605M
Total debt
Q1 2026
USD 280M
Gross margin
Q3 2026
28.2%
Shares outstanding
Efter emission
RAW 90.0M
EPS
Q3 2026
USD 0.07
Exchange
NASDAQ
Type
Technology
Sector
Optical communication and datacenter transceivers
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. AAOI
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