Embraer S.A. (EMBJ)
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Exchange
NYSE
Type
Industrials
Sector
Aerospace and defense manufacturing
Market Cap
$11.3B
Market sentiment
Sentiment is more mixed/negative than before: strong backlog and deliveries are offset by an EPS miss, clearly negative free cash flow, and a notable post-earnings share-price repricing.
Why HOLD ?
Record backlog and new orders (UAE C-390, Azorra E195-E2) improve revenue visibility, but Q1 highlighted cash-flow and margin sensitivity (inventory build, cost/tariff pressure) and the market has repriced the stock lower. Overall, it supports a wait-and-see stance until cash conversion improves and Q2 confirms guidance.
- Hold/wait: maintain an existing position; consider adding only after evidence of improving cash flow in Q2 and margin stabilization.
We're already tracking Embraer S.A. — here are the latest events we've registered
Recent News
- Since May 6, Embraer released Q1 2026 results: revenue +31% YoY to $1.447B, 44 deliveries (+47% YoY), record backlog of $32.1B (+22% YoY), and reiterated full-year guidance. However, adjusted free cash flow ex-Eve was -$447M (inventory build) and the stock fell roughly 15–20% from early-May levels. Subsequent updates included a full redemption of the 7.0% 2030 notes (June 2026) and Azorra’s firm order for 15 E195-E2 aircraft (plus options).
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A complete express analysis — not just a signal. Delivered as a webpage in your account.
- Signal: BUY / HOLD / SELL — with clear reasoning
- Sentiment score 1–10 based on news, reports, and market data
- Risk score 1–10 (dilution, jurisdiction, execution)
- Bull case: 3–5 specific points with evidence (e.g. "Oversold after panic-reaction to security news, opening a technical bounce setup")
- Bear case: 3–5 specific risks (e.g. "Extreme uncertainty around the security situation in Sinaloa after tragic events")
- Upcoming catalysts with dates
- Sources: news, filings, market data, and investor forums
- Assessment of dilution risk
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