Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz KSPI

NASDAQ | Finance | Fintech, e-commerce and payments
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Updated: 10 Nov 2026 Base analysis: 4 Aug 2026

The news check keeps the assessment current.

General analysis — not personal advice.

HOLD Clear

Existing position may be maintained at current valuation pending the Q2 report.

Mixed financial outcomes with solid growth but flat profits and ongoing high jurisdiction risk support the hold signal.

Market sentiment Positive →
Trend: Stable

Investors focus on strong e-commerce growth and AI adoption while noting margin pressure from Turkey and funding costs.

Risk assessment High
Dilution: Low Strong cash generation without need for new equity
Jurisdiction: High Operations in Kazakhstan and Turkey with political and regulatory uncertainty
Execution: Medium Turkey acquisition integration still unproven at scale

HOLD is the call. Positive is the market mood. High risk means a lot can go wrong.

Latest change
  • 10 Nov 2026 — The report shows revenue growth driven by e-commerce expansion but limited EBITDA growth following Turkish integration costs.

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About the company

Kaspi.kz operates Kazakhstan's dominant super app with integrated payments, marketplace and consumer finance services. The company is expanding internationally through acquisitions in Turkey, including Hepsiburada and Rabobank A.Ş. Operations generate strong profitability and cash flow from the home market.

Sector: Fintech, e-commerce and payments
Type: Finance
Next report (Q4)
22 Feb 2027
Catalysts
●
9 Dec 2026
EGM on dividend Medium
Bull case

Strong e-commerce growth, rapid AI adoption and proposed dividend increase support long-term potential.

Bear case

Margin pressure from Turkey integration, higher funding costs and jurisdiction risk limit profit growth.

Why this signal

Mixed financial outcomes with solid growth but flat profits and ongoing high jurisdiction risk support the hold signal.

Recent news
  • Kaspi.kz released Q3 and 9M results on November 9: revenue 1.1 trillion KZT (+18 % CC), adjusted EBITDA 408 bn (+1 %), net income 281 bn. Board proposed dividend of 1 000 KZT per ADS with EGM on December 9. Marketplace GMV growth revised down to ~12 %; stock closed at 89.47 USD.

Key figures

Revenue
Q3 2026
ZT 1.1K
EBITDA
Q3 2026
ZT 408B
Cash
Q1 2026
ZT 808B
Gross margin
Q1 2026
70.3%
Shares outstanding
Q1 2026
190M
Exchange
NASDAQ
Type
Finance
Sector
Fintech, e-commerce and payments
Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz KSPI
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Firelda provides general information and analysis, not personal investment advice. Content does not consider your financial situation or goals. Investments can rise and fall in value. Always do your own research.