Karman Holdings Inc. KRMN

NYSE | Industrials | Aerospace & Defense
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Updated: 7 Sep 2026 Base analysis: 4 Aug 2026

The news check keeps the assessment current.

General analysis — not personal advice.

HOLD Partly clear

Existing position can be maintained pending the Q2 report.

Strong organic growth, raised full-year guidance and record backlog are weighed against continued high leverage, acquisition integration risks and the new short report.

Market sentiment Positive ↓
Trend: Declining

The market has reacted negatively to the short report and increased leverage, overshadowing strong growth and backlog metrics.

Risk assessment High
Dilution: Medium Secondary offering completed in 2026, further capital needs possible
Jurisdiction: Low Operations primarily in the US
Execution: Medium Multiple acquisitions under integration

HOLD is the call. Positive is the market mood. High risk means a lot can go wrong.

Latest change
  • 7 Aug 2026 — Results beat estimates driven by strong organic growth and record order backlog.

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About the company

Karman Holdings designs, manufactures and sells critical systems for missiles, hypersonic programs, spacecraft and unmanned aerial systems. The company is in a high-growth phase with a large backlog and has recently turned profitable.

Sector: Aerospace & Defense
Type: Industrial
Next report (Q3)
5 Nov 2026
Catalysts
◐
Nov 2026
Q3 report High
○
Q4 2026
Walker Precision integration Medium
Bull case

Strong organic growth and record backlog provide high revenue visibility and potential for margin improvement.

Bear case

High leverage, acquisition integration risks and concerns over cash-flow generation may limit valuation going forward.

Sensitivity analysis
Factor If it weakens If it strengthens
Backlog conversion Weak conversion → lower revenue growth and margin pressure. Strong conversion → higher revenues and improved cash flow.
Acquisition integration Failed integration → higher costs and lower synergies. Successful integration → increased capacity and margin improvement.
Why this signal

Strong organic growth, raised full-year guidance and record backlog are weighed against continued high leverage, acquisition integration risks and the new short report.

Recent news
  • Karman completed the Walker Precision Engineering acquisition on 28 August for approximately 95 million USD, funded by an additional 100 million USD term loan. On 2 September J Capital Research published a critical short report questioning valuation, lack of operating cash flow and internal controls. The stock has fallen sharply and now trades near its 52-week low.

Key figures

Revenue
Q2 2026
USD 182M
Revenue TTM
TTM
USD 523M
EBITDA
Q1 2026
USD 44.8M
Net income
Q2 2026
USD 14.0M
Cash
Q1 2026
USD 73.8M
Total debt
Q1 2026
USD 758M
Gross margin
Q1 2026
42.2%
Shares outstanding
Q2 2026
RAW 133M
EPS
Q2 2026
USD 0.11
Exchange
NYSE
Type
Industrials
Sector
Aerospace & Defense
Karman Holdings Inc. KRMN
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Firelda provides general information and analysis, not personal investment advice. Content does not consider your financial situation or goals. Investments can rise and fall in value. Always do your own research.