Loomis AB (publ) (LOOMIS)
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Bear
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HOLD
Sentiment
7/10
Risk
5/10
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Loomis AB (publ) is a global provider of cash-in-transit and cash management services, including ATM services, vault services, and automated cash solutions (e.g., SafePoint). The company is profitable with strong cash generation and grows organically and through acquisitions, while facing long-te...
Exchange
Nasdaq Stockholm
Type
Industrials
Sector
Cash handling and security services
Market Cap
$3.1B
Market sentiment
Overall sentiment is **neutral to positive**, centered on profitability, cash generation, dividends and buybacks, with ongoing debate about long-term cash decline and the CFO transition.
Why HOLD ?
Post Q1, operating momentum is clearly stronger (margin/cash flow), but the Hermes deal adds integration and leverage risk and increases exposure to Latin America. Overall this supports moving from 'review' to 'hold' until there is more clarity on financing, closing and early integration indicators ahead of Q2.
- Hold/wait: consider adding only if (1) Hermes closes on the communicated terms and (2) Q2 confirms margin strength and net debt/EBITDA trends back toward <2.0x as guided; otherwise keep the position unchanged.
Recent News
- Since the last analysis, Loomis (2026-06-12) issued SEK 1,000m sustainability-linked bonds with a 5-year tenor and floating rate (3m Stibor +0.95%) under its EMTN programme; the deal was heavily oversubscribed (order book >SEK 2.9bn) and proceeds will be used for general corporate purposes and refinancing. The company also cancelled 1.5m treasury shares (shares outstanding ~67.0m). CFO Johan Wilsby has announced his resignation (handover ongoing). Next report is Q2 on 24 July 2026.
Bull case
- **Strong momentum** from record margins and cash flow in recent reporting
- **Large proposed dividend** and share buybacks may support the share price
- Moderate leverage (net debt/EBITDA **
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Bear case
- **Mechanical price drop** around the dividend ex-date
- **CFO resignation** may create near-term uncertainty
- FX headwinds can weigh on reported growth
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Catalysts
15 Aug 2026 — New CFO (expected appointment)
Dilution Risk
Assessment: Low
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The information on this page does not constitute investment advice. AI-generated analyses may contain errors. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. Firelda.ai is not responsible for any potential losses.