NCC NCC B

Stockholm | Industrials | Construction and civil engineering
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Updated: 15 Sep 2026 Base analysis: 6 Apr 2026

The news check keeps the assessment current.

General analysis — not personal advice.

HOLD Clear

Maintain the position; consider adding only if Q2 shows clear margin improvement and better cash flow. If further negative surprises emerge in Industry/Construction, risk reduction may become relevant.

Strong order intake and new public contracts balance ongoing uncertainty around dispute costs and operational risks.

Market sentiment Neutral ↑
Trend: Improving

Sentiment remains neutral with focus on order intake as a counterweight to disputes and fines.

Risk assessment High
Dilution: Low Strong balance sheet and dividend-paying cash flow
Jurisdiction: Low Operations mainly in stable Nordic countries
Execution: Medium Contracting projects can face overruns and disputes

HOLD is the call. Neutral is the market mood. High risk means a lot can go wrong.

Latest change
  • 19 Jun 2026 — ▲ Sentiment rises from 4 to 6 and the trend shifts from declining to improving, supported by stronger order intake (incl. an LKAB order) while the market still awaits Q2 proof on margins and cash flow.

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About the company

NCC is a Nordic construction and infrastructure group operating in contracting, infrastructure projects, asphalt/aggregates (Industry), and commercial property development. It is a mature, cyclical business with typically low margins but a dividend-focused profile. Recent results were hit by large commercial property write-downs, while core Infrastructure/Industry performance remains comparatively strong.

Sector: Construction and civil engineering
Type: Industrial
Next report (Q3)
3 Nov 2026
Catalysts
●
4 Nov 2026
Ex-dividend day for second 2026 dividend portion Low
◦
Date TBA
Property divestments
◦
Date TBA
Larger LKAB add-on order
Bull case

Strong order intake and record margins in the Industry segment support profitability in the longer term.

Bear case

Continued dispute costs and operational risks from accidents may continue to weigh on results.

Why this signal

Strong order intake and new public contracts balance ongoing uncertainty around dispute costs and operational risks.

Recent news
  • NCC has received new orders worth approximately 660 MSEK in September 2026, including 440 MSEK for Finnish Customs facilities in Vanda and 220 MSEK for renovation in Aalborg. Collaboration agreement signed for a new artillery regiment in Kristinehamn with potential value up to 6.5 bn SEK.

Exchange
Stockholm
Type
Industrials
Sector
Construction and civil engineering
NCC NCC B
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