Nebius Group N.V. NBIS

NASDAQ | Technology | AI infrastructure
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Updated: 13 Nov 2026 Base analysis: 20 Jul 2026

The news check keeps the assessment current.

General analysis — not personal advice.

HOLD Partly clear

Existing positions may be retained while new entries await clearer margin progress.

Strong revenue growth and new capacity agreements are balanced by high costs, net losses and execution risks, supporting the hold signal.

Market sentiment Positive ↑
Trend: Improving

The market reacts cautiously to the broader AI sector sell-off and insider sales, yet fundamentals with large customer contracts and capacity build-out continue to provide support.

Risk assessment Medium
Dilution: Medium Convertible notes and capex needs may require further capital
Jurisdiction: Low Dutch company with operations in US and Europe
Execution: Medium Gigawatt-scale data center builds are complex and time-sensitive
Cash flow: 18 mo

HOLD is the call. Positive is the market mood. Medium risk means some things can go wrong.

Latest change
  • 13 Nov 2026 — Report shows strong revenue growth driven by new capacity deals, yet lowered full-year guidance after third-party delays shaped the market reaction.

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About the company

Nebius Group builds a full-stack AI cloud platform with GPU clusters for training and inference. The company is expanding data centers in the US and Europe through agreements with Meta and NVIDIA. Operations are in a high-growth phase but not yet profitable at net level.

Sector: AI infrastructure
Type: Tech
Next report (Q4)
11 Feb 2027
Catalysts
○
Q1 2027
Finland 70 MW commissioning High
○
Q1 2027
Meta capacity starts High
Bull case

Nvidia's ecosystem and large customer contracts validate Nebius as a leading AI infrastructure player with strong demand.

Bear case

High valuation and the risk that large customers lease out their own excess capacity could pressure margins and the share price.

Why this signal

Strong revenue growth and new capacity agreements are balanced by high costs, net losses and execution risks, supporting the hold signal.

Recent news
  • Nebius reported Q3 2026 revenue of 980.8 MUSD and adjusted EBITDA of 465.8 MUSD. 2026 revenue guidance was lowered to the bottom end of the range due to third-party capacity delays. The stock fell 16.8 % to 128.64 USD on the report day with elevated volume.

Key figures

Revenue
Q3 2026
USD 981M
Revenue TTM
H1 2026
USD 981M
EBITDA
Q3 2026
USD 466M
Net income
Q3 2026
USD -37.5M
Cash
as of
USD 8,042M
Total debt
Aug 2026
USD 5,750M
Shares outstanding
as of
271,855,218
EPS
Q3 2026
USD -0.14
Exchange
NASDAQ
Type
Technology
Sector
AI infrastructure
Nebius Group N.V. NBIS
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Firelda provides general information and analysis, not personal investment advice. Content does not consider your financial situation or goals. Investments can rise and fall in value. Always do your own research.