Packaging Corporation of America PKG

NYSE | Industrials | Corrugated packaging and containerboard
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Updated: 23 Oct 2026 Base analysis: 23 Jul 2026

The news check keeps the assessment current.

General analysis — not personal advice.

HOLD Clear

Existing position can be maintained at current valuation.

Stable profitability, strong market position and dividend policy are balanced by margin pressure from costs and mature growth phase, supporting the hold signal.

Market sentiment Neutral →
Trend: Stable

The market reacts positively to the earnings beat and pricing power, yet the 32x P/E valuation creates some caution.

Risk assessment Low
Dilution: Low Strong cash flow and regular buybacks
Jurisdiction: Low Operations almost exclusively in the US
Execution: Medium Greif acquisition integration is main challenge

HOLD is the call. Neutral is the market mood. Low risk means less can go wrong.

Latest change
  • 23 Oct 2026 — Results show higher-than-expected Greif synergies which strengthens the profitability outlook.

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About the company

Packaging Corporation of America is a leading North American producer of containerboard and corrugated packaging. The company also operates Boise Paper for uncoated freesheet and is vertically integrated with multiple mills and converting facilities.

Sector: Corrugated packaging and containerboard
Type: Industrial
Next report (Q4)
31 Jan 2027
Bull case

Strong volume growth from Greif and price increases provide support despite margin pressure.

Bear case

Higher freight and operating costs squeeze margins and limit upside.

Why this signal

Stable profitability, strong market position and dividend policy are balanced by margin pressure from costs and mature growth phase, supporting the hold signal.

Recent news
  • The Q3 report on 21 October showed net income of 262 million USD and adjusted EBITDA of 577.2 million USD, with higher-than-expected synergies from the Greif acquisition. Two price increases have been implemented and a third is expected in Q1 2027. The stock rose 4.15 % to 248.92 USD after the report.

Key figures

Revenue
Q3 2026
USD 2.6B
Revenue TTM
TTM
USD 8.9B
EBITDA
Q3 2026
USD 577M
Net income
Q3 2026
USD 262M
Cash
Q2 2026
USD 667M
Total debt
Q2 2026
USD 4.0B
Gross margin
Q2 2026
21.8%
Shares outstanding
Q2 2026
USD 89.1M
EPS
Q3 2026
USD 2.94
Exchange
NYSE
Type
Industrials
Sector
Corrugated packaging and containerboard
Packaging Corporation of America PKG
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