Pan American Silver PAAS

NYSE | Producer | Silver and gold
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Updated: 5 Nov 2026 Base analysis: 26 Jan 2026

The news check keeps the assessment current.

General analysis — not personal advice.

HOLD Clear

Maintain the current position; avoid adding until there is clearer information on blockade status and any impact to guidance. Consider scaling in only after Investor Day (June 1) or once operations are confirmed to be normalizing.

Strong cash flow and record buybacks are balanced by operational risk from the La Colorada blockade and commodity-price driven volatility.

Market sentiment Neutral ↓
Trend: Declining

Sentiment has stabilized after the initial sell-the-news reaction, with focus on strong cash flow and liquidity despite operational uncertainty.

Risk assessment High
Dilution: Low Dilution risk remains low given strong liquidity/cash generation and ongoing buybacks, but the large planned La Colorada Skarn capex increases the importance of a clear funding plan (internal funding vs debt/partnering) before the risk can be assessed as
Jurisdiction: Medium
Execution: Low
Cash flow: 24 mo

HOLD is the call. Neutral is the market mood. High risk means a lot can go wrong.

Latest change
  • 5 Nov 2026 — Report shows strong free cash flow and capital returns despite Huaron outage pushing silver production to the lower end of guidance.

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Show all changes (13) — follow the company free
Sector: Silver and gold
Type: Producer
Next report (Q4)
18 Feb 2027
Catalysts
◦
Date TBA
Resolution of La Colorada blockade
◦
Date TBA
Gold price breakout above USD 5000/oz
Bull case

Strong liquidity of USD 3.4 billion and continued capital returns provide support for the shares.

Bear case

La Colorada blockade and technical overbought signals create short-term uncertainty.

Why this signal

Strong cash flow and record buybacks are balanced by operational risk from the La Colorada blockade and commodity-price driven volatility.

Recent news
  • Q3 report released on November 4 with USD 300 million in dividends and buybacks plus USD 377 million in free cash flow. Silver production expected at the low end of 25–27 Moz due to Huaron mill outage.

Key figures

Revenue
Q3 2026
USD 1.0B
Net income
Q3 2026
USD 357M
Cash
as_of
USD 1.9B
Total debt
USD 841M
Shares outstanding
latest
RAW 420M
EPS
Q3 2026
USD 0.85
Exchange
NYSE
Type
Producer
Sector
Silver and gold
Pan American Silver PAAS
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Firelda provides general information and analysis, not personal investment advice. Content does not consider your financial situation or goals. Investments can rise and fall in value. Always do your own research.