Saia, Inc. SAIA
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Full analysis: 25 Jul 2026
Latest news check: 31 Jul 2026
General analysis — not personal advice.
HOLD
6/10
Confidence
Existing position can be maintained pending clarity from the Q2 report.
Stable profitability and expansion plans are balanced by margin pressure and high valuation, supporting the HOLD signal.
Market sentiment
6/10
↓
Trend: Declining
Sentiment has shifted from growth optimism to concern over near-term margins despite the strong headline numbers.
Price context
The stock trades around 394 USD after a roughly 7 % weekly decline and sits 19 % below its 52-week high. The level reflects premium valuation that leaves little room for disappointment.
Risk assessment
5/10
Dilution:
Low
Stable share count and positive cash flow
Jurisdiction:
Low
Operations fully concentrated in the US
Execution:
Medium
Aggressive terminal rollout amid weak market
Recent changes
- The report showed record revenue and EPS that beat estimates but guidance on margin deterioration drove the share price decline.
About the company
Saia is a national LTL carrier with over 210 terminals across the US. The company provides less-than-truckload freight, expedited and third-party logistics services. Operations are profitable but margins are pressured by network expansion.
Sector:
Transport and logistics (LTL)
Type:
Industrial
Next report
2 Nov 2026
Q3
Horizon:
Bull case
The company continues to gain market share with record volumes and an improved operating ratio on a yearly basis.
Bear case
High valuation and rising purchased transportation and wage costs risk squeezing margins if price increases are not fully passed through.
Sensitivity analysis
| Factor | If it weakens | If it strengthens |
|---|---|---|
| Operating ratio | Higher operating ratio → margin improvement fails to materialize and expansion costs weigh on earnings longer. | Lower operating ratio → new terminals contribute to profit faster and strengthen overall profitability. |
| LTL volumes | Weaker volumes → revenue growth stalls and terminal utilization declines. | Stronger volumes → higher utilization and improved yield per terminal. |
We monitor these factors. Follow the company to get email when any of them hit.
Signal rationale (informational)
Stable profitability and expansion plans are balanced by margin pressure and high valuation, supporting the HOLD signal.
Recent news
- Saia released its Q2 report on July 30 with record revenue of 956.5 MUSD and EPS of 3.51 USD that beat estimates. The stock fell about 11–12 % on guidance for sequential margin deterioration and higher purchased transportation costs.
Key figures
Revenue
Q2 2026
USD 957M
Revenue TTM
TTM
USD 3.3B
EBITDA
Q3 2025
USD 135M
Net income
Q2 2026
USD 94.3M
Cash
Q2 2026
USD 84.0M
Total debt
Q2 2026
USD 100M
Gross margin
FY 2025
23.6%
Shares outstanding
Q1 2026
26.6M
EPS
Q2 2026
USD 3.55
Price & valuation
Last close
USD 356
Market Cap
USD 9.5B
1 week
-0.3 %
3 months
-17.5 %
12 months
+18.1 %
From 52w high
-27.0 %
From 52w low
+42.0 %
Exchange
NASDAQ
Type
Industrials
Sector
Transport and logistics (LTL)
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Firelda provides general information and analysis, not personal investment advice. Content does not consider your financial situation or goals. Investments can rise and fall in value. Always do your own research.