SCA SCA B

Stockholm | Industrials | Forest products (wood, pulp and packaging paper)
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Updated: 24 Oct 2026 Base analysis: 6 Apr 2026

The news check keeps the assessment current.

General analysis — not personal advice.

HOLD Partly clear

Reduce/trim exposure (especially if position sizing is large) and wait for clearer evidence of price/margin stabilisation and that ESG/customer issues do not translate into material volume losses; keep only a core position if you have a long horizon and accept cyclical/ESG risk.

The Q3 result beat expectations and confirmed sequential improvement, supporting a neutral stance pending further confirmation of margin recovery.

Market sentiment Positive ↑
Trend: Improving

Sentiment has improved after the Q3 result demonstrated unexpected strength in containerboard and pulp despite currency headwinds.

Risk assessment High
Dilution: Low Profitable with manageable leverage
Jurisdiction: Low Sweden, stable legal framework
Execution: Medium ESG response and pricing must deliver

HOLD is the call. Positive is the market mood. High risk means a lot can go wrong.

Latest change
  • 24 Oct 2026 — Q3 report released 23 October with revenue SEK 5 248M and EBITDA SEK 1 631M beating consensus.

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About the company

SCA is Europe’s largest private forest owner and produces wood products, pulp, and packaging paper (containerboard/kraftliner) as well as bioenergy. It is a mature, profitable company, but exposed to commodity cycles and rising ESG/sustainability demands from customers and regulators.

Sector: Forest products (wood, pulp and packaging paper)
Type: Industrial
Next report (Q4)
29 Jan 2027
Bull case

Kraftliner price increases and stronger containerboard volumes can provide margin support in Q4 and 2027.

Bear case

Lower year-over-year prices, weak pulp market and ongoing currency headwinds may limit margin improvement.

Why this signal

The Q3 result beat expectations and confirmed sequential improvement, supporting a neutral stance pending further confirmation of margin recovery.

Recent news
  • Q3 report released 23 October showed net sales of 5 248 MSEK and EBITDA of 1 631 MSEK beating consensus. Kraftliner price hikes are starting to take effect and the share trades around 125 SEK.

Key figures

Revenue
Q3 2026
SEK 5.2B
Revenue TTM
TTM
SEK 23.0B
EBITDA
Q3 2026
SEK 1.6B
Net income
Q3 2026
SEK 0.8B
Cash
H1 2026
SEK 0.2B
Total debt
H1 2026
SEK 15.6B
Shares outstanding
Q2 2026
RAW 702M
EPS
Q3 2026
SEK 1.10
Exchange
Stockholm
Type
Industrials
Sector
Forest products (wood, pulp and packaging paper)
SCA SCA B
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Firelda provides general information and analysis, not personal investment advice. Content does not consider your financial situation or goals. Investments can rise and fall in value. Always do your own research.