The Mosaic Company MOS

NYSE | Producer | Fertilizers
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Updated: 4 Nov 2026 Base analysis: 5 Aug 2026

The news check keeps the assessment current.

General analysis — not personal advice.

HOLD Partly clear

Wait for clearer signs of margin improvement before considering any position increase.

Weak profitability, high debt and uncertainty around input costs support the HOLD signal.

Market sentiment Negative ↓
Trend: Declining

The market remains predominantly negative after the earnings miss and focuses on cost pressure and production cuts.

Risk assessment Medium
Dilution: Low No issuance announced and access to credit facilities
Jurisdiction: Medium Significant operations in Brazil with currency and competitive risk
Execution: Medium Dependent on external commodity prices the company cannot control

HOLD is the call. Negative is the market mood. Medium risk means some things can go wrong.

Latest change
  • 16 Aug 2026 — Report shows net loss of USD 273M driven by high sulfur costs and production cuts.

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About the company

The Mosaic Company is a leading producer of phosphate and potash fertilizers with operations in North America and Brazil. The company is in a mature phase and is heavily influenced by commodity prices and agricultural demand.

Sector: Fertilizers
Type: Producer
Next report (Q4)
4 Feb 2027
Bull case

Stabilized fertilizer prices and successful production adjustments may improve margins in coming quarters.

Bear case

High sulfur costs and continued losses in the Brazil segment further pressure profitability.

Why this signal

Weak profitability, high debt and uncertainty around input costs support the HOLD signal.

Recent news
  • Mosaic completed tender offers for notes maturing 2027–2029 and issued new senior notes to refinance debt. The company also announced a pre-feasibility study for rare earth extraction in Brazil with Rainbow Rare Earths and a quarterly dividend of 0.22 USD. At the same time, 206 layoffs were announced in Louisiana due to sulfur shortage affecting phosphate production. Leadership changes, analyst downgrades and the threat of increased potash supply from Belarus contributed to continued share price decline.

Key figures

Revenue
Q3 2026
USD 3.1B
Revenue TTM
TTM
USD 12.4B
EBITDA
Q3 2026
USD 324M
Net income
Q3 2026
USD -72.0M
Cash
Q2 2026
USD 288M
Total debt
Q2 2026
USD 5.6B
Exchange
NYSE
Type
Producer
Sector
Fertilizers
The Mosaic Company MOS
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