Twilio Inc. TWLO
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Full analysis: 7 Aug 2026
Latest news check: 6 Jun 2026
General analysis — not personal advice.
HOLD
7/10
Confidence
Existing position may be maintained at current valuation.
Strong growth, GAAP profitability and cash flow are balanced against high valuation and margin pressure, supporting the HOLD signal.
Market sentiment
7/10
↑
Trend: Improving
The market reacts positively to the profitability turnaround and raised guidance.
Price context
The stock sits at 193.2 USD after a 58 percent gain over the past year yet 18 percent below the 52-week high, reflecting a confirmed turnaround with room for multiple expansion on stronger fundamentals.
Risk assessment
4/10
Dilution:
Low
Strong cash position and ongoing buybacks
Jurisdiction:
Low
Operations mainly in US and developed markets
Execution:
Medium
History of missed ambitions but improved under new leadership
About the company
Twilio provides APIs for SMS, voice, video and email as well as customer data platforms. The company has transitioned to profitability with strong cash flow and organic growth around 17 percent.
Sector:
Cloud communications platform (CPaaS)
Type:
Tech
Next report
29 Oct 2026
Q3
Catalysts
Nov 2026
Q3 2026 report
High
Dec 2026
AI product adoption
Medium
Horizon:
Bull case
Strong Q2 report with raised guidance and record free cash flow supports momentum.
Bear case
Rising carrier fees pressure gross margins and may limit profitability gains.
Sensitivity analysis
| Factor | If it weakens | If it strengthens |
|---|---|---|
| Organic growth | Organic growth below 13 percent → lower confidence in raised guidance and weaker cash flow trajectory. | Organic growth above 17 percent → accelerated revenue growth and stronger margin expansion. |
| Carrier fees | Further increase in carrier fees → continued gross margin pressure and lower operating profit. | Stabilization or reduction in carrier fees → improved gross margin and higher profitability. |
We monitor these factors. Follow the company to get email when any of them hit.
Signal rationale (informational)
Strong growth, GAAP profitability and cash flow are balanced against high valuation and margin pressure, supporting the HOLD signal.
Recent news
- The Q2 report on August 6 showed 1.50 billion USD in revenue and 353 million USD in free cash flow. The company raised its full-year outlook.
Key figures
Revenue
Q2 2026
USD 1.5B
EBITDA
TTM
USD 440M
Net income
Q2 2026
USD 1.1B
Cash
Q2 2026
USD 0.8B
Total debt
Q2 2026
USD 1.0B
Gross margin
Q2 2026
48.4%
Shares outstanding
Q2 2026
159M
EPS
Q2 2026
USD 6.73
Price & valuation
Last close
USD 250
Market Cap
USD 39.7B
1 week
+29.4 %
3 months
+29.8 %
12 months
+162.6 %
From 52w high
0.0 %
From 52w low
+170.5 %
Exchange
NYSE
Type
Technology
Sector
Cloud communications platform (CPaaS)
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Firelda provides general information and analysis, not personal investment advice. Content does not consider your financial situation or goals. Investments can rise and fall in value. Always do your own research.