Balder BALD B

Stockholm | Developer | Real estate (residential and commercial properties)
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Updated: 15 Sep 2026 Base analysis: 6 Apr 2026

The news check keeps the assessment current.

General analysis — not personal advice.

HOLD Clear

Hold; consider adding after the Q1 report and AGM if Norion/leadership details are clarified.

The company is profitable with stable rental growth but is weighed down by high leverage and uncertainty around the management transition, supporting a hold stance.

Market sentiment Neutral ↓
Trend: Declining

Sentiment has weakened slightly after the Q2 report: operational strength in revenue and net operating income is weighed against concerns over leverage, financing costs and weaker property management result.

Risk assessment High
Dilution: Low Strong liquidity, no clear need for equity raise
Jurisdiction: Low Operations in stable Western European countries
Execution: Medium Leadership change and deals/projects must deliver

HOLD is the call. Neutral is the market mood. High risk means a lot can go wrong.

Latest change
  • 10 May 2026 — Q1 2026 came in slightly below expectations with rental income of SEK 3,460m, NOI of SEK 2,514m and profit from property management of SEK 1,450m. Profit from property management declined YoY, partly due to…

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About the company

Fastighets AB Balder is a Nordic real estate company that owns, manages, and develops residential and commercial properties across the Nordics as well as Germany and the UK. The company is profitable with high occupancy, but carries relatively high leverage and is interest-rate sensitive. Key focus areas include selective acquisitions, refinancing, and simplification via a proposed Norion Bank distribution.

Sector: Real estate (residential and commercial properties)
Type: Developer
Next report (Q3)
23 Oct 2026
Catalysts
○
Q1 2027
Construction start logistics hub Gothenburg Medium
◦
Date TBA
Victoria project: construction start window 2027/2028
◦
Date TBA
AMF passes 5% ownership
Bull case

Stable rental growth and a wide NAV discount could provide upside if rates decline and Norion values become visible.

Bear case

High leverage and the management change may continue to pressure property management result and sentiment.

Why this signal

The company is profitable with stable rental growth but is weighed down by high leverage and uncertainty around the management transition, supporting a hold stance.

Recent news
  • Balder has started construction of Kv. Garbo in Sundbyberg with strong booking interest and acquired a stake in Saab’s new facility in Jönköping. Swedbank Robur reduced its holding below 5 % while AMF passed 5 %. The share trades around 50–54 SEK with moderate volatility.

Exchange
Stockholm
Type
Developer
Sector
Real estate (residential and commercial properties)
Balder BALD B
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Firelda provides general information and analysis, not personal investment advice. Content does not consider your financial situation or goals. Investments can rise and fall in value. Always do your own research.