Holmen HOLM B

Stockholm | Industrials | Forestry, paper/packaging board and renewable energy
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Updated: 22 Oct 2026 Base analysis: 6 Apr 2026

The news check keeps the assessment current.

General analysis — not personal advice.

HOLD Clear

Hold. Consider adding on clear timber-market improvement or a larger dip (e.g., >10%).

Strong balance sheet and ongoing share buybacks support the HOLD signal while uncertainty around wood products and energy prices limits upside in the near term.

Market sentiment Neutral →
Trend: Stable

Sentiment remains neutral with emphasis on defensive assets and capital returns despite weaker margins in wood products and energy.

Risk assessment Low
Dilution: Low Positive cash flow; no equity raise expected
Jurisdiction: Low Sweden; stable legal and political environment
Execution: Medium Timber turnaround and restructuring must deliver

HOLD is the call. Neutral is the market mood. Low risk means less can go wrong.

Latest change
  • 22 Oct 2026 — Results missed expectations which drove the negative share price reaction following the release.

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About the company

Holmen AB is a Swedish forestry and forest-products company with large forest assets and production of sawn timber, packaging board and paper. It also produces renewable power (hydro and wind) and operates with a strong balance sheet and low leverage.

Sector: Forestry, paper/packaging board and renewable energy
Type: Industrial
Next report (Annual)
2 Feb 2027
Bull case

Integrated business model and forest assets provide resilience and support total return through dividends and buybacks.

Bear case

Weak construction cycle and low electricity prices continue to pressure margins in wood products and energy.

Why this signal

Strong balance sheet and ongoing share buybacks support the HOLD signal while uncertainty around wood products and energy prices limits upside in the near term.

Recent news
  • Holmen's Q3 report on 22 October missed expectations with revenue of 4 945 MSEK and operating profit of 549 MSEK. The company is reorganising the Forest business area to clarify result responsibility. The share trades around 316 SEK after the report.

Key figures

Revenue
Q3 2026
SEK 4.9B
EBITDA
Q3 2026
SEK 909M
Net income
Q3 2026
SEK 391M
Total debt
Q2 2026
SEK 6.5B
Exchange
Stockholm
Type
Industrials
Sector
Forestry, paper/packaging board and renewable energy
Holmen HOLM B
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