Evolution AB (publ) EVO

Stockholm | Technology | IGaming technology (live casino and RNG games)
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Updated: 24 Oct 2026 Base analysis: 6 Apr 2026

The news check keeps the assessment current.

General analysis — not personal advice.

NEUTRAL Clear

Maintain existing position pending clarity on the bid and strike outcome.

The main shareholder bid and uncertainty around capital structure and operational stability warrant continued review of the position.

Market sentiment Neutral ↓
Trend: Declining

Sentiment remains constrained by bid uncertainty and operational risks, although buybacks and game growth provide support.

Risk assessment High
Dilution: Low Strong FCF and net cash; buyback history
Jurisdiction: Medium Exposure to grey markets, especially Asia
Execution: Medium Piracy/cyber and maturity require adaptation

NEUTRAL is the call. Neutral is the market mood. High risk means a lot can go wrong.

Latest change
  • 24 Oct 2026 — The report was released after the period showing sequential growth across all regions for the first time since 2024.

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About the company

Evolution AB (publ) is a B2B provider of live casino and RNG games (slots, etc.) to global gaming operators. The company is highly profitable with strong margins and net cash, but faces headwinds from maturing growth, regulation, and Asia-related issues (piracy/cyber).

Sector: IGaming technology (live casino and RNG games)
Type: Tech
Next report (Q4)
4 Feb 2027
Catalysts
◦
Date TBA
Developments around the Dart bid
Bull case

Aggressive buybacks and strong cash-flow generation can support the share if the bid is raised or rejected.

Bear case

The bid and any regulatory or operational disruptions create uncertainty around valuation and growth.

Why this signal

The main shareholder bid and uncertainty around capital structure and operational stability warrant continued review of the position.

Recent news
  • Q3 report was published on 23 October 2026 with revenue of 526.1 MEUR (+3.7 % YoY) and adjusted EBITDA of 345.9 MEUR. All regions showed sequential growth for the first time since 2024, but the Brazilian studio was temporarily closed following regulatory changes. 502,208 shares were repurchased during the period.

Key figures

Revenue
Q3 2026
EUR 526M
EBITDA
Q3 2026
EUR 334M
Net income
Q3 2026
EUR 243M
Gross margin
Q2 2026
65.9%
Shares outstanding
Q3 2026
183M
EPS
Q3 2026
EUR 1.33
Exchange
Stockholm
Type
Technology
Sector
IGaming technology (live casino and RNG games)
Evolution AB (publ) EVO
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Firelda provides general information and analysis, not personal investment advice. Content does not consider your financial situation or goals. Investments can rise and fall in value. Always do your own research.